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2024-12-14 01:33:57

Statement of the work: Personal opinion, for reference only.Of course, I have to say that the above is just my personal shallow thinking about the market. It is really difficult to judge the trend of the market, especially the current market is in an "abnormal" period. We can see that theoretically, the market should have adjusted today, including the adjustment of Hong Kong stocks and the adjustment of FTSE A50 index, and the market turnover has shrunk dramatically, but we can see that the market index just does not fall. Showing great resilience. It can be seen that the prediction of short-term market trends is actually very difficult and the uncertainty is very high.Based on the above analysis, my judgment on the market trend tomorrow is that the probability of the market closing the Yinxian line tomorrow is relatively large. So how will A shares go tomorrow? Please look at the hand-drawn forecast chart about tomorrow's trend.


Second, from the perspective of symmetry. Since the high of 3509 points fell, an obvious downward channel has been formed. And this descending channel is actually possible to be mapped in the current possible band. That is to say, if the current index falls, it is possible to go down at the same angle as the previous falling segment.


Let's take a look at the CSI 2000 Index, which represents the trend of small-cap stocks. CSI 2000 Index. At present, it is a typical rising wedge structure. This structure has run to the pressure level of the wedge-shaped upper rail. It has also run to the recent low point. After the low point support line is broken, it becomes the pressure level of the pressure line (the red line in the figure). Therefore, I think that small-cap stocks will actually face greater adjustment pressure tomorrow.Second, from the perspective of symmetry. Since the high of 3509 points fell, an obvious downward channel has been formed. And this descending channel is actually possible to be mapped in the current possible band. That is to say, if the current index falls, it is possible to go down at the same angle as the previous falling segment.Let's take a look at the CSI 2000 Index, which represents the trend of small-cap stocks. CSI 2000 Index. At present, it is a typical rising wedge structure. This structure has run to the pressure level of the wedge-shaped upper rail. It has also run to the recent low point. After the low point support line is broken, it becomes the pressure level of the pressure line (the red line in the figure). Therefore, I think that small-cap stocks will actually face greater adjustment pressure tomorrow.

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